GEO Group (GEO) is a Industrials company in the Security Protection Services industry. It has a market capitalization of $3.66B, a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 and a free-cash-flow yield of -3.2%. Over the most recent reported fiscal year, revenue grew 8.6% and free cash flow per share fell 173.3%. Nama's AI scorecard rates it Hold, 4.5 out of 10. On 12-month momentum it ranks in the leading band of its market.
AI scorecard
Hold · 4.5/10
The sections balance. As of Nov 7, 2026.
Momentum
Leading · +98.0% over 12 months ex. last
Top 20% of its market on the past year's steady rise.
Shariah screen
Not Shariah Compliant
At least one of the three ratios or the industry test failed.
Off its high
-23.8%
How far the last close sits under the highest price of the past five years.
Market cap
$3.66B
Trailing P/E
21.4
Price / book
2.4
Price / sales
1.3
FCF yield
-3.2%
Dividend yield
—
Gross margin
26.0%
Operating margin
13.9%
Net margin
10.3%
Revenue growth (YoY)
+8.6%
Revenue growth (3-yr annual)
+3.5%
EPS growth (YoY)
+14.7%
FCF/share growth (YoY)
-173.3%
Beta
0.8
Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Security Protection Services
GEO earnings
Next report: Feb 11, 2027 (Q4 2026, EPS estimate $0.33).
Beat the EPS estimate in 3 of 4 recent quarters.
Quarter
Reported
EPS
Estimate
Surprise
Revenue
Q3 2026
Nov 5, 2026
$0.39
$0.35
+11.4%
—
Q2 2026
Aug 6, 2026
$0.37
$0.29
+27.6%
$732.07M
Q1 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.29
$0.20
+45.0%
$705.21M
Q4 2025
Feb 12, 2026
$0.25
$0.25
+0.0%
$707.70M
GEO analyst price target
Median target $40.00 from 4 analysts, ranging $36.00 – $40.00.
Nama's AI scorecard currently rates GEO Group Hold (4.5 out of 10), a call computed from its profitability, cash generation, growth, valuation and balance sheet. It is a research reading, not investment advice.
What is GEO's P/E ratio?
GEO Group trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4.
When does GEO report earnings?
GEO Group's next scheduled report is on Feb 11, 2027. Analysts expect EPS of $0.33.
What is the GEO price target?
The median analyst price target from 4 analysts is $40.00, with a range of $36.00 – $40.00.
Is GEO Shariah compliant?
Nama's AAOIFI-style screen reads GEO Group as Not Shariah Compliant. At least one of the three ratios or the industry test failed.