Nama Insights

GEO Group (GEO)

Industrials · Security Protection Services · NYSE

GEO Group (GEO) is a Industrials company in the Security Protection Services industry. It has a market capitalization of $3.66B, a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 and a free-cash-flow yield of -3.2%. Over the most recent reported fiscal year, revenue grew 8.6% and free cash flow per share fell 173.3%. Nama's AI scorecard rates it Hold, 4.5 out of 10. On 12-month momentum it ranks in the leading band of its market.
AI scorecard
Hold · 4.5/10
The sections balance. As of Nov 7, 2026.
Momentum
Leading · +98.0% over 12 months ex. last
Top 20% of its market on the past year's steady rise.
Shariah screen
Not Shariah Compliant
At least one of the three ratios or the industry test failed.
Off its high
-23.8%
How far the last close sits under the highest price of the past five years.
Market cap$3.66B
Trailing P/E21.4
Price / book2.4
Price / sales1.3
FCF yield-3.2%
Dividend yield—
Gross margin26.0%
Operating margin13.9%
Net margin10.3%
Revenue growth (YoY)+8.6%
Revenue growth (3-yr annual)+3.5%
EPS growth (YoY)+14.7%
FCF/share growth (YoY)-173.3%
Beta0.8
ExchangeNYSE
SectorIndustrials
IndustrySecurity Protection Services

GEO earnings

Next report: Feb 11, 2027 (Q4 2026, EPS estimate $0.33). Beat the EPS estimate in 3 of 4 recent quarters.

QuarterReportedEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Q3 2026 Nov 5, 2026 $0.39 $0.35 +11.4% —
Q2 2026 Aug 6, 2026 $0.37 $0.29 +27.6% $732.07M
Q1 2026 May 6, 2026 $0.29 $0.20 +45.0% $705.21M
Q4 2025 Feb 12, 2026 $0.25 $0.25 +0.0% $707.70M

GEO analyst price target

Median target $40.00 from 4 analysts, ranging $36.00 – $40.00.

Security Protection Services peers

TickerCompanyMarket capP/E
ALLE Allegion $15.76B 21.2
ADT ADT $7.20B 10.6
MSA MSA Safety $6.55B 19.2
BCO Brink's $4.54B 12.3
BRC Brady $3.69B 14.9
CXW CoreCivic $2.48B 18.6
NSSC Napco Security Technologies $1.08B 18.9
Explore live GEO data on Nama Insights →

GEO FAQ

Is GEO a buy?
Nama's AI scorecard currently rates GEO Group Hold (4.5 out of 10), a call computed from its profitability, cash generation, growth, valuation and balance sheet. It is a research reading, not investment advice.
What is GEO's P/E ratio?
GEO Group trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4.
When does GEO report earnings?
GEO Group's next scheduled report is on Feb 11, 2027. Analysts expect EPS of $0.33.
What is the GEO price target?
The median analyst price target from 4 analysts is $40.00, with a range of $36.00 – $40.00.
Is GEO Shariah compliant?
Nama's AAOIFI-style screen reads GEO Group as Not Shariah Compliant. At least one of the three ratios or the industry test failed.